The Norm Chronicles Stories and Numbers About Danger and Death Is it safer to fly or take the train How dangerous is skydiving And is eating that extra sausage going to kill you We ve all heard the statistics for risky activities but what do they mean in the rea

  • Title: The Norm Chronicles: Stories and Numbers About Danger and Death
  • Author: Michael Blastland David Spiegelhalter
  • ISBN: 9780465085705
  • Page: 345
  • Format: Paperback
  • Is it safer to fly or take the train How dangerous is skydiving And is eating that extra sausage going to kill you We ve all heard the statistics for risky activities, but what do they mean in the real world In The Norm Chronicles, journalist Michael Blastland and risk expert David Spiegelhalter explore these questions through the stories of average Norm and an ingenioIs it safer to fly or take the train How dangerous is skydiving And is eating that extra sausage going to kill you We ve all heard the statistics for risky activities, but what do they mean in the real world In The Norm Chronicles, journalist Michael Blastland and risk expert David Spiegelhalter explore these questions through the stories of average Norm and an ingenious measurement called the MicroMort a one in a million chance of dying They reveal why general anesthesia is as dangerous as a parachute jump, giving birth in the US is nearly twice as risky as in the UK, and that the radiation from eating a banana shaves 3 seconds off your life An entertaining guide to the statistics of personal risk, The Norm Chronicles will enlighten anyone who has ever worried about the dangers we encounter in our daily lives.

    • ☆ The Norm Chronicles: Stories and Numbers About Danger and Death || Õ PDF Read by Ü Michael Blastland David Spiegelhalter
      345 Michael Blastland David Spiegelhalter
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      Posted by:Michael Blastland David Spiegelhalter
      Published :2019-04-06T05:30:43+00:00

    About “Michael Blastland David Spiegelhalter

    1. Michael Blastland David Spiegelhalter says:

      Michael Blastland David Spiegelhalter Is a well-known author, some of his books are a fascination for readers like in the The Norm Chronicles: Stories and Numbers About Danger and Death book, this is one of the most wanted Michael Blastland David Spiegelhalter author readers around the world.

    2 thoughts on “The Norm Chronicles: Stories and Numbers About Danger and Death

    1. if numbers, statistics, facts, figures, averages, charts, graphs, and notions of risk, chance, and probability are your thing, the norm chronicles: stories and numbers about danger and death may well be the most intriguing book you'll encounter in some time. authors michael blastland and david spiegelhalter explore nearly every aspect of human life, parsing out the likelihoods that any number of occurrences will come to pass over the course of a human lifetime (from infancy to old age)eatively a [...]

    2. This is a fascinating book about risk, the probability of risk in given situations, and how humans react to the idea of risk. It takes as it’s basis three characters: Norm, a man who is average in every sense of the word, and calculates risk according to the statistics; Prudence, who worries incessantly and excessively about everything – for her, the worst case scenario is also the likeliest; and Kelvin, who is arrogant and irresponsible and seems happy to take risks in all aspects of his li [...]

    3. This book is about quantifying risk, plain and simple. While those two buzzwords may induce a high-flying eye roll, I can't think of a better way to explain what Blastland's and Spiegelhalter's book attempts to do. Let's put it this way: as a parent, do you fear that your children will get kidnapped? Do you think skydiving is dangerous? How much does your diet truly affect how long you will live? The Norm Chronicles attempts to answer these questions by using two statistical units: the MicroMort [...]

    4. There may be some bias in an actuary reviewing a book on mortality statistics but I will partly tackle that by putting my cards on the table. I am pretty strong with statistics and don't shy away from them. This book tries the novel tactic of beginning each chapter with a kind of narrative element walking through the lives of a risk averse, neutral, and risk disposed character. This was neat in the first chapter but I quickly got either bored or confused with the ensuing uses. These vignettes ta [...]

    5. I really do admire the authors' attempt to make facts and figures accessible to the modern reader via a narrative of sorts, which is what drew me to start reading this book in the first place. However, after a while, it just felt like a whole bunch of statistics and numbers, with only a few accounts and narratives thrown in. Maybe that in itself reveals something about the non-statistician in me (though I will say that I have a soft spot for mathematics), but I have a feeling I'm not the only on [...]

    6. Really 3.5I wanted to like this book better than I did. The explicit purpose of this book was to combine storytelling and risk assessment. The writing is quite good. But I found too much philosophy and not enough hard-headed probability. Each chapter tries to address a different aspect of life. And each chapter starts with a little story about one of their stock characters: Norm (who craves, tries to understand, and believes in all the probabilities), Prudence (who is extremely risk-averse), and [...]

    7. A pretty enjoyable book that looks at inherent risks and dangers in every aspect of life through the sometimes absurd lens of it's fictional characters (Norm, Prudence, and the Kelvin bros) and evaluated using MicroMorts, a measurement which means a 1 in a million chance of dying. Manages to be both entertaining with its structure and fairly enlightening with it's study of chance, probability and statistics. Can be easily recommended to almost anyone.

    8. As much a book on psychology as statistics. Why do we consider two equal risks such as the radiation dose from a CT scan and standing 2.4km from the explosion of the Hiroshima atomic bomb so differently? A very informative and entertaining book. Should be required reading for all politicians.

    9. Unfortunately but not surprisingly the stats get a little dry. However it's a great wake up call to stop making risk judgments based upon what is available in the media.

    10. With The Norm Chronicles, Michael Blastland and David Spiegelhalter have set out to discover whether numbers can help the [fictional] infant Norm avoid the many pitfalls of the average life. They analyse the risks and probabilities inherent in many of the situations and questions that occur throughout life – whether to have a baby, whether to eat processed foods, whether to ride a motorbike, etc – in order to provide mathematical guidance in avoiding/mitigating risk. In order to consider as [...]

    11. This book shows you a new way of thinking about your habits and how dangerous life is in general. For me it was really interesting, for the numbers were underlined by a story. Yet you shouldn't read the book of you aren't interested in even some mathematics.

    12. Fascinating book about risk and chance and our responses to it, from one of its leading popularizers. It isn't wonderfully written (tries a bit too hard to be popular) but it's full of un-missable nuggets and insights. For example:-Year after year, among us 21 million male Britons, we manage to fall off ladders at the same rate. In the five years to 2010, the number of men killed falling from ladders was 42, 54, 56, 53, 47. All that randomness, yet it all comes out the same. --Spikes and peaks i [...]

    13. This is a book about taking risks, and why we rate some risks as much more likely than others to occur despite statistical evidence that that may not necessarily be the case (they just stick better in our minds because they are recorded in our minds in 'story form'--via first person accounts or the media--and we all know that stories stick better than plain-vanilla facts). For instance, I worried a lot when my children were small walking to school that they would be hit by a car. Statistically, [...]

    14. Subtitled “Stories and Numbers about Danger” this is a book on statistics which turns out to be readable, interesting, and even fun! Threaded through it are 3 characters with different attitudes to risk to help illustrate the data. Norm, who’s average in everything (almost), Prudence who’s prudent. And Kevin who’s a big risk-taker. The stories didn’t always work for me, but I appreciated the intention. E.g. I enjoyed the spoof romance with the hero surgeon, lash-fluttering nurse, and [...]

    15. Ten Second Synopsis:Using an average bloke, an anxious mother and a danger-seeking guy, The Norm Chronicles crunches the numbers of risk and danger alongside stories that illustrate consequences of various risk-defying behaviours.What The Norm Chronicles does brilliantly (and with plenty of humour) is demystify the numbers and rhetoric and cut through to the likelihood of various unpleasant events happening to you, while deconstructing the fear that can run rampant through a populace.Each chapte [...]

    16. Authors Michael Blastland and David Spiegelhalter examine the chances of dying from a wide variety of causes. You might think this sounds morbid. Think again. These guys find fun ways to play with numbers. Who has not wondered how their life will end? Everyone is mortal, and Michael and David delight in the subject. They examine a wide variety of terminal situations. Since you are reading this, it's obvious that you did not die while emerging from the birth canal. That happens to be one of the m [...]

    17. I am interested in the different ways in which individuals assess risk and found this book fascinating reading. The risks in various everyday situations are illustrated by imaginary scenarios featuring Norm – Mr Average; Prudence – ultra cautious and Kevin/Kelvin and variations who see no risk in anything or choose to ignore the risks which others would take seriously.My perception is that many people overestimate the risks of many things and underestimate the risks of things which they rega [...]

    18. Risk and how people understand it, process it and react to it is a big part of my job, and I've often had the occassion to hear David Spiegelhalter speak about the issue (he's Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at Cambridge). He talks good sense and is very clear and accessible, so I was glad to see he'd written a book with Michael Blastland, who makes some excellent programmes on Radio 4 (More or Less is a particular favourite, stats nerd that I am). The book was good, I thou [...]

    19. The Norm Chronicles had me laughing from the front matter on. This book covers statistical risks in everyday life with fictional vignettes starring three characters: Prudence, Norm, and Kelvin. Prudence leads a careful life, worried about remote possibilities, while Kelvin takes every risk imaginable. Norm, as his name implies, represents the average person. Although the two authors are based in the UK, the majority of the data has been pulled from both US and UK sources, often making for intere [...]

    20. What’s actually going to kill you? What are the chances you’ll die going about your day? What about the day you give birth? How dangerous is it to be at different ages? How dangerous are drugs or skydiving, really? This book is a statistical analysis. In order to make the subject less dry, the authors introduce three characters: “Prudence,” the safety addict,“Kelvin,” the risk-taker, and“Norm,” the statistically-average man.The beginning of each chapter is the three of them going [...]

    21. The Norm Chronicles (2013) by Michael Blastland and David Spiegelhalter is an excellent look at risk in everyday life. Blastland is one of the creators of the wonderful More or Less radio program and Spiegelhalter is a statistician. The book has three characters, Norm, an average person in as many ways as possible, Prudence, who is always cautious and Kelvin who is a big risk taker. The three of them appear in each chapter and then the risks they are encountering are assessed. The book uses the [...]

    22. The Norm Chronicles offers an interesting and amusing discussion of the risks inherent in a wide range of activities. Introducing the reader to three characters -- Norm, Prudence and Kelvin (aka, Average, Risk Averse and Thrill Seeker) -- the book then chronicles their lives from birth to old age through a series of vignettes that lead into a deeper discussion of risk.One of my favorites was the Banana-equivalency table, which converts radiation exposure of various sources -- all the way from 10 [...]

    23. Stating at the outset that they seek to prove probability does not truly exist, the authors then state their goal: to fuse the numbers that indicate risks related to various activities with the stories people tell themselves and others. In essence, they argue, calculating risk involves not just means and averages but the experiences we've had, society's general outlook, and the stories we tell ourselves and each other. Very good, but they attempt to accomplish this by creating three (or more) fi [...]

    24. This is a book that needed to be written, viz. an easy to read, clear tour of statistics in everyday fields like medicine, insurance, education, heath care, politics and finance. On any expedition, good guides are essential Michael Blastland is a journalist and co-author, but his content understanding is superficial and he doesn't write that well. This book could have been half its size, and it has a tedious, tongue-in-cheek, "we're British, you know" tone that wears early in the volume. Sir Dav [...]

    25. This is an engaging non-fiction exploration about risk and how we feel about risk. I enjoyed this book on two levels: 1) lots and lots of information about risk itself, including some cool tools to compare risk (micro-morts and -lives) and 2) the exploration that the statistics don't really matter if we have a panic attack about how we feel about the risk and then lay down on the floor and don't live our lives. I was expecting the information, but was delightfully surprised by the acknowledgemen [...]

    26. Fun to read, a bit too short. Blastland is good at outlining just how counter intuitive good statistical thinking is. Look at this little gem:"Suppose you’ve rounded up a thousand of the usual terrorist suspectsmeone claims to have a lie detector that is 90 per cent accuratee machine declares that 108 are probably lying. These are taken away, given orange suits and not seen again for years.But this means, believe it or not, that there were most likely to have been just 10 terrorists in the 1,0 [...]

    27. I won The Norm Chronicles by Michael Blastland and David Spiegelhalter from . I am delighted to say that it is one of the best “science” books that I have ever read. Full of fascinating facts, statistics, and probabilities, The Norm Chronicles is a revelation of the actual, quantifiable, and statistical risks of various human activities and exposures and of natural (and cosmic) disasters. Every chapter is a fascinating ride examining big risks (e.g “extreme sports”) and small (“space [...]

    28. This book isn't maybe quite as satisfying as I'd like, as the numbers are never as exact as I'd like but that's kind of the authors' point, no? The two main thrusts of the book being, one, that life is probably not as scary as you think (at least if you live in the UK or USA), and, two, that all these risk and probability numbers are, finally, pretty limited, at least in terms of their ability to predict life events. (The authors attempt to make this second point mostly through the stories of th [...]

    29. I love this book. The authors have presented a complex subject in an articulate, entertaining, and amazingly clear fashion. Especially in terms of media coverage, it's almost impossible to understand what me mean when we talk about risk. Reading "The Norm Chronicles" will help. I'd even go so far as to recommend this book as the basis for a mandatory high school class to improve risk probability literacy, since so many life decisions are informed by this kind of data.Highly recommended, I'm will [...]

    30. This book is about risk and our perception of risk. Each chapter begins with a short story followed by the numbers. The short stories are written in a fast informal style. I did have some trouble reading the stories I think because I'm not a native English speaker. But in the en I could understand everything. You hardly need any math skills. It does make you look more closely at the numbers you read in the papers and at the we you yourself assess risk. f you like this subject you should try and [...]

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